Cuab yeej · Monte Carlo
Cuab yeej sim tswv yim roulette
Lub cuab yeej sim tswv yim roulette no ua si ntau txhiab zaus ua si ntawm txhua txheej txheem twv rau kev twv them sib npaug, kom koj pom tag nrho kev faib tawm ntawm cov qhov tshwm sim, tsis yog ib zaug hmoov zoo xwb.
zaus ua si tau nyiaj
62.5%
poob tag nrho (nyiaj peev twv 0)
28.7%
qhov tshwm sim median
+$400
qhov tshwm sim nruab nrab
−$69.11
zaus ua si zoo tshaj
+$630
zaus ua si phem tshaj
−$1,000
feem pua thib 5 / 95
−$1,000 / +$560
nyiaj peev txo qis tshaj (median)
−$630
1,000 zaus ua si × 100 zaus kiv · ntshav p10/p25/p75/p90, xiav dawb median, 83 kab piv txwv tsaus · txav hla daim duab kom pom quantile ntawm ib zaus kiv
- p10 −$1,000
- p25 −$1,000
- median +$400
- p75 +$490
- p90 +$540
Kev faib tawm ntawm cov qhov tshwm simpoob ← | → tau
−$1,000$0+$630
taw rau ib tug kem · kem liab yog zaus ua si poob, ntsuab yog yeej, kem daj ntseg hla $0
Nyeem qhov tshwm sim
Martingale hauv 100 zaus kiv pib nrog nyiaj peev twv $1,000: 62.5% ntawm 1,000 zaus ua si xaus nrog nyiaj tau thiab 28.7% poob tag nrho nyiaj peev twv. Zaus ua si median xaus ntawm +$400, nruab nrab ntawm −$69.11. Qhov nruab nrab qis dua ntau tshaj qhov nyiaj yuav poob raws nruab nrab kwv yees li $27 ntawm tus neeg twv tib yam nyiaj, vim kev nce nyiaj twv twv ntau dua heev txhua zaus ua si. Tsis muaj teeb tsa twg txav tau nyiaj yuav poob raws nruab nrab rau txhua duas las twv tawm ntawm 2.70%.
Txoj kev suav thiab cov kev xav
Kev twv them sib npaug (liab), feem yeej 18/37, cov zaus kiv tsis cuam tshuam los ntawm lub tshuab tsim lej uas muaj noob (seed) kom tib qho teeb tsa rov ua tau tib yam. Ib zaus ua si xaus thaum txog tus naj npawb zaus kiv los yog thaum nyiaj peev twv txog xoom. Nyiaj twv raug txwv ntawm ciam twv ntawm lub rooj thiab ntawm nyiaj peev twv seem. Martingale rov pib ntawm nyiaj twv pib thaum qhov ob npaug tom ntej yuav dhau ciam. Paroli rov pib tom qab yeej peb zaug. Labouchère pib ntawm kab 1-2-3-4 suav ua ib nrab chav twv pib.